Viendo archivo del martes, 8 febrero 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Feb 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 039 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 FEB 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE. REGION 8858 (N28E14)
PRODUCED AN M1/1B AT 08/0900UT WHICH INCLUDED A TYPE II RADIO SWEEP
AND OTHER MINOR RADIO OUTPUT. THIS SUNSPOT GROUP HAS DECAYED A
LITTLE SINCE YESTERDAY. REGION 8861 (N07W53) CONTINUED TO DEVELOP
AND PRODUCED A FEW C-CLASS FLARES. THE LARGEST WAS A C4/1F AT
07/2328UT. FOUR NEW REGIONS WERE NUMBERED - 8863 (S14E70), 8864
(N44W16), 8865 (S12E22), AND 8866 (N18E64).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE. SIGNIFICANT FLARE ACTIVITY IS MOST LIKELY IN REGIONS
8858 AND 8861.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WAS HIGH.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 FEB a 11 FEB
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 FEB 174 Previsto 09 FEB-11 FEB 176/178/178 Media de 90 Días 08 FEB 172
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 FEB 019/025 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 FEB 010/015 PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 FEB-11 FEB 010/010-010/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 FEB a 11 FEB
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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