Viendo archivo del miércoles, 9 febrero 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Feb 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 040 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 FEB 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. THE MOST INTERESTING EVENT OF
THE PAST DAY WAS A LONG DURATION C7/2F FLARE IN SPOTLESS REGION 8853
(S13W40) AT 09/2006UT. REGION 8858 (N27E01) CONTINUED TO DECAY
SLOWLY. THE LARGEST FLARE IN THIS REGION SINCE YESTERDAY WAS A C6/SN
AT 09/0051UT. REGION 8861 (N07W68) CONTINUED TO GROW BUT ONLY
PRODUCED MINOR C-CLASS ACTIVITY. NEW REGIONS 8867 (S14E32) AND 8868
(S24E33) EMERGED ON THE DISK.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE. REGIONS 8858 AND 8861 ARE THE MOST LIKELY CANDIDATES
FOR M-CLASS ACTIVITY.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD RANGED FROM QUIET TO ACTIVE LEVELS. ACTIVE
CONDITIONS OCCURRED AT MANY LOCATIONS FROM 09/1200-1800UT. THE
GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WAS HIGH.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 FEB a 12 FEB
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 FEB 199 Previsto 10 FEB-12 FEB 178/178/176 Media de 90 Días 09 FEB 172
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 08 FEB 010/012 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 09 FEB 010/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 10 FEB-12 FEB 010/010-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 FEB a 12 FEB
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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