Viendo archivo del sábado, 17 febrero 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Feb 17 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 048 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 Feb 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 9354 (S08E20) grew
in area and spot count since yesterday. Overall the disk and limbs
were mostly quiet and stable.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electrons at
geosynchronous orbit were at moderate levels throughout the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled. A possible shock from a full-halo
CME on the 15th may produce unsettled conditions on the first two
days of the period. Conditions should be at quiet levels for the
third day.
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 Feb a 20 Feb
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 17 Feb 130 Previsto 18 Feb-20 Feb 130/130/135 Media de 90 Días 17 Feb 170
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 16 Feb 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 17 Feb 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 18 Feb-20 Feb 010/010-010/010-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 Feb a 20 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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