Viendo archivo del domingo, 6 enero 2002

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Jan 06 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 006 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Jan 2002

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z

Solar activity was at low levels. Region 9767 (S22W17) produced the largest flare, a C6/Sf at 06/1444 UTC as well a 3 other minor C-class flares. Region 9767 maintains a beta-gamma magnetic classification but has shown slight decay in area and spot count. Region 9768 (S05W84) has grown to a beta-gamma magnetic class as it rotates to the west limb. Region 9773 (N13E36) has shown little change since yesterday.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate. Region 9767 and Region 9773 have the potential for an M-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled conditions.
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Jan a 09 Jan
Clase M60%60%60%
Clase X10%10%10%
Protón10%10%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       06 Jan 197
  Previsto   07 Jan-09 Jan  205/200/195
  Media de 90 Días        06 Jan 221
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 05 Jan  002/003
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 06 Jan  006/006
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 07 Jan-09 Jan  005/008-005/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Jan a 09 Jan
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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