Viendo archivo del jueves, 28 febrero 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Feb 28 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 059 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 Feb 2002IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z Solar activity was moderate. An M2 flare occurred at
28/0012 UTC and was associated with an eruptive limb event near
S25W90. Several C-class subflares also occurred. Regions 9844
(N22W34) and 9845 (N18E08) grew in sunspot number and area.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Mar a 03 Mar
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 28 Feb 204 Previsto 01 Mar-03 Mar 200/200/200 Media de 90 Días 28 Feb 223
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 27 Feb 004/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 28 Feb 006/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Mar-03 Mar 005/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Mar a 03 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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