Viendo archivo del jueves, 7 marzo 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Mar 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 066 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Mar 2002IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels. Several minor
C-class flares with no optical correlation occurred during the
period. The largest appears to be a C6 that was in progress at the
time of this writing. Region 9851 (S02W24) has shown penumbral
growth in the lead complex of the spot group today. Region 9845
(N17W86) has almost completely exited the west limb. The rest of
the spotted groups have been unchanged or in varying degrees of weak
decay. New Region 9864 (N18E69) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to active levels. An
isolated minor storm condition was observed at Fredericksburg at
06/2100 UTC, believed to be a result of a large, transequatorial
coronal hole during it's waning stage. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit has been elevated throughout
the period following the passage of the high speed stream.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field activity
is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels through the forecast
period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Mar a 10 Mar
| Clase M | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Mar 180 Previsto 08 Mar-10 Mar 180/175/175 Media de 90 Días 07 Mar 219
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Mar 016/015 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Mar 009/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Mar-10 Mar 008/010-008/010-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Mar a 10 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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