Viendo archivo del jueves, 26 septiembre 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Sep 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 269 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Sep 2002IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity was low during the past 24 hours.
Today's activity consisted of occasional low-level C-class
subflares. The majority of these were from Region 132 (N20W53),
which continues to be the largest group on the disk and also the
most complex with a beta-gamma magnetic configuration. This group
has decreased in area during the past 24 hours. Region 134 (N11E50)
showed moderate growth and managed to produce a subflare. Region 130
(N06W04) also showed growth.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
predominantly low for the next three days. There is a slight chance
for an isolated M-class event from Region 132 or Region 134.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days. There is a
possibility for an increase to unsettled to active late on the third
day as a positive polarity coronal hole will be rotating into a
geoeffective position at that time.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Sep a 29 Sep
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Sep 150 Previsto 27 Sep-29 Sep 145/140/135 Media de 90 Días 26 Sep 179
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Sep 001/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Sep 005/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Sep-29 Sep 005/007-005/007-010/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Sep a 29 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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