Viendo archivo del lunes, 11 agosto 2003

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Aug 11 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 223 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 Aug 2003

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z

Solar activity decreased to very low levels. Several impulsive B-class flares comprised today's flare activity. Region 424 (S18W54) has shown a slight decrease in penumbral coverage today although it continues to exhibit beta-gamma characteristics. Region 431 (S13E43) also underwent slight decay and it too appears to possess a beta-gamma magnetic structure. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels. An isolated M-class flare is possible from Region 424.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled to minor storm levels for the first two days of the period due to a recurrent high speed coronal hole stream. Day three should decrease to predominantly unsettled conditions as the coronal hole wanes.
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 Aug a 14 Aug
Clase M20%20%20%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       11 Aug 129
  Previsto   12 Aug-14 Aug  130/125/120
  Media de 90 Días        11 Aug 126
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 10 Aug  009/012
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 11 Aug  008/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 12 Aug-14 Aug  020/020-020/035-012/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 Aug a 14 Aug
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo35%35%25%
Tormenta Menor20%20%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%10%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo40%45%40%
Tormenta Menor20%35%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%15%05%

All times in UTC

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