Viendo archivo del domingo, 9 noviembre 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Nov 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 313 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Nov 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity was very low. All regions presently on
the disk are small and simple. New Region 500 (S08W22) was numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to major storm levels. An
isolated major storm period occurred from 09/1200-1500 UTC.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at active to minor storm levels. A coronal hole
related disturbance is expected to begin by 11 November.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Nov a 12 Nov
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Nov 093 Previsto 10 Nov-12 Nov 095/095/100 Media de 90 Días 09 Nov 130
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Nov 007/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Nov 023/025 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Nov-12 Nov 020/025-020/025-020/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Nov a 12 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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