Viendo archivo del lunes, 8 diciembre 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Dec 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 342 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Dec 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flare activity occurred
as the disk is dominated by a large coronal hole.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field varied from quiet to major storm levels. The
high speed solar wind, emanating from the mid-disk coronal hole,
increased in radial speed around 0600 UTC. The current radial speed
is near 650 km/s.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at active to minor storm levels for the next three
days. High speed solar wind should buffet the magnetosphere through
December 11.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Dec a 11 Dec
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Dec 094 Previsto 09 Dec-11 Dec 095/095/100 Media de 90 Días 08 Dec 136
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Dec 007/015 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Dec 025/040 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Dec-11 Dec 025/035-030/035-025/035
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Dec a 11 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 40% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 35% | 40% | 35% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 35% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 50% | 55% | 50% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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