Viendo archivo del martes, 9 diciembre 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Dec 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 343 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Dec 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Very little of
significance occurred. There are but two spotted regions visible,
and both are simple and small.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
to be very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at active to minor storm levels. Effects of
the high speed stream continue for another day. The greater than 2
MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit attained high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at active to minor storm levels through the period.
This prolonged disturbance is attributable to the enhanced solar
wind from a large coronal hole near mid-disk.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Dec a 12 Dec
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Dec 092 Previsto 10 Dec-12 Dec 095/100/100 Media de 90 Días 09 Dec 136
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Dec 020/039 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Dec 020/030 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Dec-12 Dec 030/035-025/035-025/035
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Dec a 12 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 40% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 55% | 50% | 50% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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