Viendo archivo del domingo, 7 diciembre 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Dec 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 341 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Dec 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity was low. Very few flares occurred, the
largest being a C3 at 0254 UTC. Just three simple spotted regions
are visible. Today's 10 cm flux (92) is the lowest since 07
November.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to persist
at low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. A small transient in the
solar wind passed ACE at 1340 UTC, having a short-lived increase in
radial speed plus a more prolonged strengthening of the total field.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was
again high.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be increasingly more disturbed through the period. A
high speed solar wind stream is anticipated to bring active to minor
storm conditions, beginning near midday on 09 December.
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Dec a 10 Dec
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Dec 092 Previsto 08 Dec-10 Dec 090/090/090 Media de 90 Días 07 Dec 136
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Dec 014/022 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Dec 010/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Dec-10 Dec 015/015-025/020-030/035
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Dec a 10 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 35% | 50% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 45% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 20% | 40% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 10% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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