Viendo archivo del domingo, 13 agosto 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Aug 13 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 225 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Aug 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Today's activity consisted
of a few B-class flares from Region 904 (S13E38). This region
continues to be the only spotted group on the disk. The large leader
spot showed simplification and consolidation of the umbra regions;
the large trailer spot showed slow emergence of new magnetic flux.
The region is predominantly bipolar but has some small areas of
mixed polarity, making the group a beta-gamma magnetic class.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low, with just a slight chance for an isolated M-class flare
from Region 904.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
reached high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be generally quiet for the next three days (14-16
August).
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Aug a 16 Aug
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Aug 086 Previsto 14 Aug-16 Aug 085/085/085 Media de 90 Días 13 Aug 076
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Aug 004/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Aug 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Aug-16 Aug 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Aug a 16 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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