Viendo archivo del martes, 7 noviembre 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Nov 07 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 311 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Nov 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity was low. An active region rotating
around the east limb produced three C-class flares during the past
24 hours. The largest of these was a C6 flare at 07/1346Z. Bright
X-ray emission is seen above the east limb in GOES-13 SXI imagery,
and a very active loop structure is seen in EIT imagery. Sunspots
are just now rotating onto the visible disk. Two fast CMEs have
originated from this region during the past two days (both were in
the range of 1500-2000 km/s in SOHO LASCO imagery). ACE SIS data
shows a slight enhancement in the greater than 10 MeV and 30 MeV
protons beginning soon after the CME that was observed in LASCO
imagery at 06/1842Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
There is a slight chance for an isolated M-class flare from the
region rotating onto the east limb.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on 08 November. Unsettled to active
conditions, with possible minor storm periods, are expected on 09-10
November. The increase is expected due to a recurrent coronal hole
rotating into a geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Nov a 10 Nov
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Nov 085 Previsto 08 Nov-10 Nov 090/090/090 Media de 90 Días 07 Nov 078
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Nov 001/001 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Nov 002/002 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Nov-10 Nov 005/005-015/025-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Nov a 10 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 35% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 45% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 15% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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