Viendo archivo del miércoles, 8 noviembre 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Nov 08 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 312 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Nov 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity was very low. New Region 923 (S05E71)
produced multiple B-class flares in the last 24 hours. The largest
of these was a B6 at 08/1233Z. The large leader spot in this new
sunspot group is now visible. Region 921 (S06W66) produced a couple
of low-level B-class flares today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
There remains a chance for an isolated M-class flare from Region
923.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active, with possible minor storm
periods on 09-10 November as a recurrent coronal hole rotates into a
geoeffective position. Quiet to active conditions are expected on
11 November.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Nov a 11 Nov
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Nov 086 Previsto 09 Nov-11 Nov 090/090/085 Media de 90 Días 08 Nov 078
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Nov 000/000 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Nov 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Nov-11 Nov 015/025-010/015-007/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Nov a 11 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 35% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 10% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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