Viendo archivo del jueves, 17 mayo 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 May 17 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 137 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 May 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z Solar activity decreased to very low levels. Region
956 (N02E21) was limited to the production of multiple B-class
flares during the past 24 hours. The sunspot area and magnetic
complexity underwent further enhancement today. Region analysis
continues to depict a Dkc beta-gamma-delta sunspot group. Regions
955 (S09W92) and 957 (S04W47) were spotless over the past 24 hours.
No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels. There is a slight chance of an isolated M-class flare
from Region 956.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at predominantly quiet levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly quiet levels on 17 May.
Predominantly unsettled to active conditions with isolated minor
storm periods are possible on 19 and 20 May, due to a recurrent
coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 May a 20 May
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 17 May 077 Previsto 18 May-20 May 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 17 May 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 16 May 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 17 May 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 18 May-20 May 005/005-010/010-010/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 May a 20 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 25% | 45% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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