Viendo archivo del miércoles, 13 junio 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Jun 13 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 164 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Jun 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 960 (S05W85)
produced A B4 flare at 13/1347Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low. There is a slight chance of a C-class flare from Region 960.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. An apparent solar sector boundary
crossing occurred at 13/1800Z. Solar wind speed increased from
approximately 310 km/s to 420 km/s at forecast issue time.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to range from quiet to active levels on 14-15 June, with
isolated minor storm periods possible at high latitudes, due to a
recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. Quiet to unsettled
conditions are expected on 16 June.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Jun a 16 Jun
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Jun 071 Previsto 14 Jun-16 Jun 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 13 Jun 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Jun 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Jun 004/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Jun-16 Jun 010/015-010/010-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Jun a 16 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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