Viendo archivo del sábado, 14 julio 2007

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Jul 14 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 195 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 Jul 2007

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No significant flares occurred during the past 24 hours.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low, with a slight chance for an isolated C-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active conditions due to a recurrent coronal hole. Solar wind speed at ACE reached a peak of 561 km/s at 14/2121Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled on 15 July. Quiet conditions are expected on 16-17 July.
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 Jul a 17 Jul
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       14 Jul 076
  Previsto   15 Jul-17 Jul  075/075/075
  Media de 90 Días        14 Jul 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 13 Jul  005/004
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 14 Jul  010/015
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 15 Jul-17 Jul  006/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 Jul a 17 Jul
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%10%10%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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