Viendo archivo del viernes, 10 agosto 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Aug 10 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 222 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Aug 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 966 (S06W20)
produced no significant flares during the past 24 hours.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active. A recurrent
coronal hole became geoeffective at approximately 10/1400Z. The
solar wind speed at ACE rose from 225 km/s and reached 560 km/s by
forecast time. The 2 MeV electron flux measured at geosynchronous
orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to range from quiet to active. Minor storms are possible
at high latitudes. Unsettled to active conditions are expected to
end during the latter half of 11 August as the recurrent coronal
hole rotates away from a geoeffective position. Quiet conditions
are anticipated on 12 and 13 August.
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Aug a 13 Aug
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 Aug 068 Previsto 11 Aug-13 Aug 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 10 Aug 072
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 Aug 002/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 Aug 012/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 Aug-13 Aug 010/015-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Aug a 13 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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