Viendo archivo del jueves, 9 agosto 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Aug 09 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 221 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Aug 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No significant flares
were observed during the past 24 hours.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to become unsettled to active on 10 August in response to a
recurrent coronal hole. Active conditions are anticipated to
persist through 11 August; high-latitude minor storm periods are
possible. By 12 August, the coronal hole rotates out of a
geoeffective position and conditions are expected to return to
quiet.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Aug a 12 Aug
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Aug 067 Previsto 10 Aug-12 Aug 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 09 Aug 072
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Aug 005/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Aug 005/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Aug-12 Aug 015/025-010/015-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Aug a 12 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 20% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 10% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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