Viendo archivo del viernes, 16 noviembre 2007

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Nov 16 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 320 Publicado el 2200Z a las 16 Nov 2007

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 15-2100Z hasta 16-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 974 was designated in position N12W04 as spot class BXO, magnetic class beta. A slow moving CME was observed on the southwest limb at approximately 16/1100Z. This CME appears to have originated on the backside of the Sun and is not expected to be geoeffective.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 15-2100Z a 16-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was predominately quiet with one unsettled period. Solar wind speed remains elevated near 500 km/s due to a geoeffective recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the forecast period, November 17 - 19.
III. Probabilidades del evento 17 Nov a 19 Nov
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       16 Nov 071
  Previsto   17 Nov-19 Nov  069/069/069
  Media de 90 Días        16 Nov 068
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 15 Nov  005/005
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 16 Nov  005/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 17 Nov-19 Nov  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 17 Nov a 19 Nov
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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