Viendo archivo del sábado, 17 noviembre 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Nov 17 2246 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 321 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 Nov 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 974 (N13W21) was
classiefied as a Dao, Beta-Gamma magnetic type at 0300Z. Subsequent
reports have identified it as a spotless plage region.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
very low. There is a slight chance of an isolated C-Class flare
from region 974.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain predominantly quiet during 18-19 Nov, increasing
to unsettled to occasionally active by 20 Nov as a recurrent coronal
hole high speed stream becomes geoeffective.
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 Nov a 20 Nov
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 17 Nov 070 Previsto 18 Nov-20 Nov 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 17 Nov 068
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 16 Nov 005/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 17 Nov 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 18 Nov-20 Nov 005/005-005/005-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 Nov a 20 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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