Viendo archivo del jueves, 13 diciembre 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Dec 13 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 347 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Dec 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 978 (S08W25) produced a
C4.5/1f event at 13/1003Z. This region has exhibited growth in
white light area coverage and developed a beta-gamma-delta magnetic
configuration.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. Region 978 remains capable of producing C-class flares
with a slight chance for an isolated low level M-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for 14-15 December. Quiet to unsettled
conditions are expected for 16 December.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Dec a 16 Dec
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Dec 094 Previsto 14 Dec-16 Dec 095/095/095 Media de 90 Días 13 Dec 070
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Dec 007/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Dec 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Dec-16 Dec 005/005-005/005-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Dec a 16 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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