Viendo archivo del domingo, 10 febrero 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Feb 10 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 041 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Feb 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity was very low. The visible disk was
spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to minor storm levels. The
increase in activity is attributable to the arrival of a high speed
stream. Solar wind speed increased from approximately 450 km/s to
approximately 650 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to active levels with isolated minor storm
periods at high latitudes on day 1 (11 February) due to a recurrent
coronal hole high-speed stream. Activity is expected to be at quiet
to unsettled levels on days 2 and 3 (12-13 February) as the effects
of the coronal hole high-speed stream wane.
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Feb a 13 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 Feb 073 Previsto 11 Feb-13 Feb 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 10 Feb 075
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 Feb 002/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 Feb 015/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 Feb-13 Feb 015/015-010/010-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Feb a 13 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 30% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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