Viendo archivo del sábado, 9 febrero 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Feb 09 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 040 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Feb 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity was very low. The visible disk was
spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again
today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on day 1(10 February). Activity is
expected to increase to unsettled to active on day 2 (11 February)
due to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream. Activity is
expected to decrease to quiet to unsettled on day 3 (12 February).
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Feb a 12 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Feb 072 Previsto 10 Feb-12 Feb 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 09 Feb 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Feb 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Feb 005/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Feb-12 Feb 005/012-015/015-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Feb a 12 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 40% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 45% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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