Viendo archivo del domingo, 20 julio 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Jul 20 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 202 Publicado el 2200Z a las 20 Jul 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 19-2100Z hasta 20-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 1000
(S12W05) remained quiet and stable.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 19-2100Z a 20-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet to unsettled all three days of the
forecast period (21 - 23 July) with isolated active periods possible
on day three. The forecasted increase in activity is a result of a
recurrent coronal hole high speed stream that is expected to rotate
into a geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 21 Jul a 23 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 20 Jul 066 Previsto 21 Jul-23 Jul 066/066/066 Media de 90 Días 20 Jul 067
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 19 Jul 001/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 20 Jul 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 21 Jul-23 Jul 008/008-010/010-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 21 Jul a 23 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 45% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 50% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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