Viendo archivo del sábado, 16 agosto 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Aug 16 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 229 Publicado el 2200Z a las 16 Aug 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 15-2100Z hasta 16-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours and the solar disk continues to be spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (17-19 August).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 15-2100Z a 16-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was high.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods for
the next three days (17-19 August). The increase is in response to a
recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 17 Aug a 19 Aug
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 16 Aug 066 Previsto 17 Aug-19 Aug 066/066/066 Media de 90 Días 16 Aug 066
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 15 Aug 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 16 Aug 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 17 Aug-19 Aug 007/008-010/010-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 17 Aug a 19 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 30% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 50% | 55% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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