Viendo archivo del lunes, 21 julio 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Jul 21 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 203 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Jul 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours. Region 1000 (S12W18) is spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled, with an isolated active
period from 0900-1200Z. The solar wind data at ACE indicated the
passage of a solar sector boundary. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled on day one (22 July), unsettled to
active on day two (23 July), and mostly unsettled on day three (24
July). The increase in activity is forecast due to the expected
effects of a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Jul a 24 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Jul 066 Previsto 22 Jul-24 Jul 066/066/066 Media de 90 Días 21 Jul 067
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Jul 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Jul 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Jul-24 Jul 010/010-015/015-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Jul a 24 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 50% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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