Viendo archivo del domingo, 17 agosto 2008

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Aug 17 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 230 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 Aug 2008

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during the past 24 hours and the solar disk continues to be spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low for the next three days (18-20 August).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods for the next three days (18-20 August). The increase is in response to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 Aug a 20 Aug
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       17 Aug 067
  Previsto   18 Aug-20 Aug  066/066/066
  Media de 90 Días        17 Aug 066
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 16 Aug  004/005
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 17 Aug  007/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 18 Aug-20 Aug  010/010-012/015-007/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 Aug a 20 Aug
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo30%35%15%
Tormenta Menor10%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo50%55%20%
Tormenta Menor15%20%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%10%05%

All times in UTC

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