Viendo archivo del jueves, 6 noviembre 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Nov 06 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 311 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Nov 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 1007 (N35W84) was
stable as it approached the west limb. No new active regions were
numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit was high during most of the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to range from active to minor storm levels with a chance
for major storm levels at high latitudes on day 1 (07 November) due
to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream. Activity is expected
to decrease to unsettled to active levels on day 2 (08 November). A
further decrease to quiet to unsettled levels is expected on day 3
(09 November) as coronal hole effects subside.
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Nov a 09 Nov
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Nov 069 Previsto 07 Nov-09 Nov 069/070/070 Media de 90 Días 06 Nov 067
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Nov 000/000 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Nov 001/001 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Nov-09 Nov 020/030-010/015-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Nov a 09 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 30% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 35% | 10% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 35% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 50% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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