Viendo archivo del viernes, 7 noviembre 2008

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Nov 07 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 312 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Nov 2008

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed. The visible disk was spotless during most of the period. Region 1007 (N35W97) was stable as it crossed the west limb early in the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels. A recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream (CH HSS) commenced early in the period. Solar wind velocities gradually increased from 282 to 511 km/sec during the period. IMF changes associated with the CH HSS included increased Bt (peak 14 nT at 07/1202Z) and intermittent periods of southward Bz (minimum -10 nT at 07/2057Z).
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to range from quiet to active levels on day 1 (08 November) as the CH HSS continues. Activity is expected to decrease to quiet to unsettled levels during the remainder of the period (09 - 10 November) as the CH HSS subsides.
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Nov a 10 Nov
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       07 Nov 068
  Previsto   08 Nov-10 Nov  068/068/068
  Media de 90 Días        07 Nov 067
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 06 Nov  000/001
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 07 Nov  012/012
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 08 Nov-10 Nov  010/015-007/010-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Nov a 10 Nov
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo25%10%05%
Tormenta Menor10%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo35%15%10%
Tormenta Menor20%05%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%01%

All times in UTC

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