Viendo archivo del miércoles, 3 diciembre 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Dec 03 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 338 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Dec 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours. The solar disk continues to be spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (04-06 December).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet during the past 24 hours.
Conditions were initially completely undisturbed, but around 0600Z a
gradual increase in solar wind speed and magnetic field intensity
began. In response geomagnetic activity increased slightly to quiet
to unsettled levels through the remainder of the day. The solar wind
signatures appear to be consistent with the onset of a high speed
solar wind stream from a coronal hole.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly unsettled for the next three days
(04-06 December) with a chance for isolated active periods. The
enhanced activity is expected due to the high speed solar wind
stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Dec a 06 Dec
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 Dec 069 Previsto 04 Dec-06 Dec 069/069/069 Media de 90 Días 03 Dec 068
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 Dec 000/000 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 Dec 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 Dec-06 Dec 010/010-010/015-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Dec a 06 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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