Viendo archivo del sábado, 15 enero 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Jan 15 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 015 Publicado el 2200Z a las 15 Jan 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 14-2100Z hasta 15-2100Z Solar activity was low. New region 1147 (N24E80)
produced a C1 flare at 15/1419Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low for the next three days (16 - 18 January).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 14-2100Z a 15-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was mostly quiet. An isolated unsettled
period was observed at Boulder between 15/1200 - 1500Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (16 - 18
January).
III. Probabilidades del evento 16 Jan a 18 Jan
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 15 Jan 080 Previsto 16 Jan-18 Jan 080/080/080 Media de 90 Días 15 Jan 084
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 14 Jan 006/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 15 Jan 007/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 16 Jan-18 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 16 Jan a 18 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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