Viendo archivo del sábado, 15 enero 2011

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Jan 15 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 015 Publicado el 2200Z a las 15 Jan 2011

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 14-2100Z hasta 15-2100Z

Solar activity was low. New region 1147 (N24E80) produced a C1 flare at 15/1419Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low for the next three days (16 - 18 January).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 14-2100Z a 15-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was mostly quiet. An isolated unsettled period was observed at Boulder between 15/1200 - 1500Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (16 - 18 January).
III. Probabilidades del evento 16 Jan a 18 Jan
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       15 Jan 080
  Previsto   16 Jan-18 Jan  080/080/080
  Media de 90 Días        15 Jan 084
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 14 Jan  006/007
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 15 Jan  007/007
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 16 Jan-18 Jan  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 16 Jan a 18 Jan
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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