Viendo archivo del viernes, 11 febrero 2011

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Feb 11 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 042 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 Feb 2011

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 1153 produced a B9 flare despite having rotated off the west limb on 09 February. There are currently four regions on the disk, but all have been mostly stable and quiet.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for a C-class flare for the next 3 days (12-14 February).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet for the next 3 days (12-14 February).
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 Feb a 14 Feb
Clase M05%05%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       11 Feb 091
  Previsto   12 Feb-14 Feb  090/090/090
  Media de 90 Días        11 Feb 084
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 10 Feb  004/003
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 11 Feb  002/002
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 12 Feb-14 Feb  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 Feb a 14 Feb
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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