Viendo archivo del jueves, 10 febrero 2011

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Feb 10 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 041 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Feb 2011

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Region 1153 produced a few B-class and C-class events early in the period before rotating off the disk. Region 1156 (S14E09) remained stable and quiet.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low over the next 3 days (11-13 February).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet with an isolated period of unsettled conditions between 10/06Z and 10/09Z at mid latitudes. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels throughout the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet for the next 3 days (11-13 February).
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Feb a 13 Feb
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       10 Feb 091
  Previsto   11 Feb-13 Feb  090/090/090
  Media de 90 Días        10 Feb 084
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 09 Feb  001/002
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 10 Feb  001/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 11 Feb-13 Feb  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Feb a 13 Feb
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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