Viendo archivo del domingo, 18 septiembre 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Sep 18 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 261 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Sep 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 1295 (N22W12) produced a
long duration C3 flare at 18/1057Z. A back-sided CME was observed on
LASCO C3 imagery at 18/1242Z. Region 1295 was classified as a beta
gamma magnetic configuration again today. Regions 1300 (N24W45) and
1301 (N21E77) were numbered during the past 24 hours.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
with a chance for isolated M-class flares from Region 1295 for the
next three days (19-21 September).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (19-21 September).
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Sep a 21 Sep
| Clase M | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 18 Sep 150 Previsto 19 Sep-21 Sep 150/150/150 Media de 90 Días 18 Sep 103
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 17 Sep 014/032 Estimado Afr/Ap 18 Sep 005/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 19 Sep-21 Sep 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Sep a 21 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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