Viendo archivo del lunes, 19 septiembre 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Sep 19 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 262 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Sep 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 1296 (N26W05) produced a
long duration C6 flare at 19/0737Z. Region 1301 (N20E63) produced a
C6/Sn flare at 19/1541Z. SOHO LASCO imagery observed 4 CME limb
events in the past 24 hours, none of which are expected to be
geoeffective. Region 1295 remains a beta gamma magnetic
configuration.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
for the next three days (20-22 September). A chance for isolated
M-class flares exists from Region 1295.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (20-22 September).
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Sep a 22 Sep
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 19 Sep 141 Previsto 20 Sep-22 Sep 140/140/140 Media de 90 Días 19 Sep 103
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 18 Sep 005/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 19 Sep 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 20 Sep-22 Sep 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Sep a 22 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 09% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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