Viendo archivo del lunes, 19 septiembre 2011

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Sep 19 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 262 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Sep 2011

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Region 1296 (N26W05) produced a long duration C6 flare at 19/0737Z. Region 1301 (N20E63) produced a C6/Sn flare at 19/1541Z. SOHO LASCO imagery observed 4 CME limb events in the past 24 hours, none of which are expected to be geoeffective. Region 1295 remains a beta gamma magnetic configuration.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low for the next three days (20-22 September). A chance for isolated M-class flares exists from Region 1295.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the next three days (20-22 September).
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Sep a 22 Sep
Clase M40%40%40%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       19 Sep 141
  Previsto   20 Sep-22 Sep  140/140/140
  Media de 90 Días        19 Sep 103
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 18 Sep  005/005
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 19 Sep  005/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 20 Sep-22 Sep  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Sep a 22 Sep
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa09%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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