Viendo archivo del miércoles, 19 octubre 2011

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Oct 19 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 292 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Oct 2011

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z

Solar activity was low during the past 24 hours. Region 1324 (N12E55) produced three C-class events, the largest a C5 at 19/0455Z. The region has grown significantly in area and is considered an Fkc-type group with a beta-gamma magnetic configuration. New Region 1325 (N16E82) was numbered today and is an Hax-alpha region.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low for the next three days (20-22 October) with a chance for M-class activity from Regions 1319 (N10W53) and 1324.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (20-22 October).
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Oct a 22 Oct
Clase M40%40%40%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       19 Oct 147
  Previsto   20 Oct-22 Oct  145/150/150
  Media de 90 Días        19 Oct 119
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 18 Oct  005/005
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 19 Oct  005/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 20 Oct-22 Oct  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Oct a 22 Oct
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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