Viendo archivo del miércoles, 11 enero 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Jan 11 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 011 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 Jan 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z Solar activity was low. Nominal C-class flares
occurred.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low with a chance for a M-class flare for the next 3 days
(12-14 January).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
forecast to be mostly quiet on day 1 (12 January). Conditions are
expected to increase for days 2-3 (13-14 January), with possible
unsettled and active conditions due to a high speed stream (HSS)
from a coronal hole (CH).
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 Jan a 14 Jan
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 11 Jan 120 Previsto 12 Jan-14 Jan 120/120/120 Media de 90 Días 11 Jan 145
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 10 Jan 005/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 11 Jan 000/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 12 Jan-14 Jan 003/005-007/008-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 Jan a 14 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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