Viendo archivo del domingo, 9 mayo 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 May 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 129 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 May 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C4 event observed at
09/1358Z from Region 2822 (N18E45). There are currently 1 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a
slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (10 May,
11 May, 12 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 346 km/s at 09/1811Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
09/1952Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
09/1300Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 389 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and three (10 May, 12
May) and quiet levels on day two (11 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 May a 12 May
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 May 076 Previsto 10 May-12 May 077/077/079 Media de 90 Días 09 May 076
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 May 004/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 May 007/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 May-12 May 008/008-006/005-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 May a 12 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 10% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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