Viendo archivo del lunes, 23 agosto 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Aug 23 2235 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 234 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Aug 2021 RTDIA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a B2 event observed at
23/0113Z. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (24 Aug,
25 Aug, 26 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 304 km/s at 22/2221Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 156 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (24 Aug), and quiet to
active levels on days two and three (25 Aug and 26 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Aug a 26 Aug
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Aug 078 Previsto 24 Aug-26 Aug 078/078/078 Media de 90 Días 22 Aug 079
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 22 Aug 004/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 23 Aug 004/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 24 Aug-26 Aug 008/008-008/015-015/018
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Aug a 26 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 35% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 35% | 30% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.3 |
| Último evento clase M | 05/02/2026 | M1.1 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 05/02/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
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|---|---|
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