Viendo archivo del martes, 24 agosto 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Aug 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 236 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Aug 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
24/1449Z from Region 2859 (N19E32). There are currently 2 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (25
Aug, 26 Aug, 27 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 345 km/s at 24/2035Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
24/2026Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
24/0831Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 143 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one and three (25 Aug, 27 Aug)
and unsettled to active levels on day two (26 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Aug a 27 Aug
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Aug 081 Previsto 25 Aug-27 Aug 080/080/080 Media de 90 Días 24 Aug 079
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Aug 008/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Aug 005/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Aug-27 Aug 012/015-014/018-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Aug a 27 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 40% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 40% | 55% | 40% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 31/12/2025 | M7.11 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 02/01/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
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| Last 30 days | 107.6 -0.4 |