Viendo archivo del lunes, 20 septiembre 2021
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2021 Sep 20 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 263 Publicado el 2200Z a las 20 Sep 2021IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 19-2100Z hasta 20-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 3 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (21 Sep,
22 Sep, 23 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 19-2100Z a 20-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 327 km/s at 20/0346Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 124 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (21 Sep, 22 Sep)
and quiet to active levels on day three (23 Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 21 Sep a 23 Sep
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 20 Sep 079 Previsto 21 Sep-23 Sep 075/075/077 Media de 90 Días 20 Sep 082
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 19 Sep 002/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 20 Sep 004/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 21 Sep-23 Sep 007/008-008/008-008/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 21 Sep a 23 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 25% | 40% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
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