Viendo archivo del miércoles, 7 septiembre 2022
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 Sep 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 250 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Sep 2022IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
07/0141Z. There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (08 Sep,
09 Sep, 10 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 608 km/s at 07/0027Z. Total IMF reached 5
nT at 07/1910Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
07/1612Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 15367 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (08 Sep,
09 Sep, 10 Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Sep a 10 Sep
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Sep 126 Previsto 08 Sep-10 Sep 125/125/125 Media de 90 Días 07 Sep 122
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Sep 014/019 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Sep 009/011 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Sep-10 Sep 008/010-007/008-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Sep a 10 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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