Viendo archivo del sábado, 3 septiembre 2022
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 Sep 03 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 246 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Sep 2022IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C3 event observed at
03/1648Z from Region 3089 (S22W61). There are currently 4 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on
days one and two (04 Sep, 05 Sep) and expected to be very low with a
chance for a C-class flares on day three (06 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at unsettled to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 588 km/s at 03/1002Z. Total IMF
reached 11 nT at 03/0726Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-9 nT at 03/0847Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
reached a peak level of 309 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to major storm levels on day one (04 Sep), quiet to
minor storm levels on day two (05 Sep) and quiet to active levels on day
three (06 Sep). Protons greater than 10 Mev have a slight chance of
crossing threshold on days one and two (04 Sep, 05 Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Sep a 06 Sep
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 05% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 01% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 Sep 123 Previsto 04 Sep-06 Sep 122/122/118 Media de 90 Días 03 Sep 121
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 Sep 010/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 Sep 019/024 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 Sep-06 Sep 020/030-021/028-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Sep a 06 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 40% | 35% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 15% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 75% | 60% | 35% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.3 |
| Último evento clase M | 13/02/2026 | M1.0 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 05/02/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| enero 2026 | 112.6 -11.4 |
| febrero 2026 | 121.7 +9.1 |
| Last 30 days | 131.5 +34.7 |