Viendo archivo del martes, 10 enero 2023
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2023 Jan 10 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 10 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Jan 2023IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a M5 event observed at
10/0016Z from Region 3186 (N25E65). There are currently 8 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (11 Jan, 12
Jan, 13 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 416 km/s at 10/1321Z. Total IMF reached 9
nT at 10/1426Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -8 nT at
10/1348Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 564 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (11 Jan) and quiet levels
on days two and three (12 Jan, 13 Jan). Protons have a slight chance of
crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (11 Jan, 12 Jan, 13 Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Jan a 13 Jan
| Clase M | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| Clase X | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Protón | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 Jan 193 Previsto 11 Jan-13 Jan 192/190/188 Media de 90 Días 10 Jan 136
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 Jan 007/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 Jan 006/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 Jan-13 Jan 008/008-005/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Jan a 13 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 40% | 20% | 20% |
All times in UTC
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
lunes, 19 enero 2026
CME impact! S4 solar radiation storm
domingo, 18 enero 2026
X1.9 solar flare with earth-directed CME
miércoles, 31 diciembre 2025
Happy New Year! Celebrate with an M7.1 solar flare!
Últimos mensajes del foro
Do the high-resolution sunspot counts point to more complex sunspots? 37AR4366 56Space Weather Memes 777Incoming & Unnumbered Active Regions 139X1.9 CME 1342
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Solar activity or if there is a chance to see the aurora, but with more traffic comes higher costs to keep the servers online. If you like SpaceWeatherLive and want to support the project you can choose a subscription for an ad-free site or consider a donation. With your help we can keep SpaceWeatherLive online!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 18/01/2026 | X1.9 |
| Último evento clase M | 21/01/2026 | M3.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 28/01/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| Last 30 days | 119.2 +2.7 |