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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2023 Feb 06 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 37 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Feb 2023IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C7 event observed at
06/1212Z from Region 3211 (S17W57). There are currently 9 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (07
Feb, 08 Feb, 09 Feb).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 521 km/s at 06/2008Z. Total IMF reached 13
nT at 06/0532Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -11 nT at
06/0459Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 143 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (07 Feb) and quiet to
unsettled levels on days two and three (08 Feb, 09 Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Feb a 09 Feb
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Feb 158 Previsto 07 Feb-09 Feb 160/158/158 Media de 90 Días 06 Feb 153
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Feb 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Feb 013/016 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Feb-09 Feb 012/016-011/012-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Feb a 09 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 40% | 35% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 12/12/2025 | M1.1 |
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