Viendo archivo del miércoles, 12 julio 2023
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2023 Jul 12 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 193 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Jul 2023IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a M6 event observed at
12/0855Z from Region 3372 (N24E65). There are currently 12 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one and two (13 Jul,
14 Jul) and expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares and a
slight chance for an X-class flare on day three (15 Jul).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 356 km/s at 12/0044Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at
11/2114Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
12/1146Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 796 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (13 Jul, 14 Jul) and
quiet to minor storm levels on day three (15 Jul). Protons have a slight
chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (13 Jul, 14
Jul, 15 Jul).
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Jul a 15 Jul
| Clase M | 55% | 55% | 50% |
| Clase X | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 Jul 193 Previsto 13 Jul-15 Jul 190/188/188 Media de 90 Días 12 Jul 159
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 11 Jul 008/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 12 Jul 008/009 Previsto Afr/Ap 13 Jul-15 Jul 010/012-012/014-016/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Jul a 15 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 30% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 30% | 20% | 40% |
All times in UTC
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
lunes, 30 marzo 2026
X1.5 solar flare
martes, 17 marzo 2026
M2.7 solar flare, CME arrival possible
domingo, 1 febrero 2026
Complex sunspot region 4366
Últimos mensajes del foro
AR4409 169Space Weather Memes 817Photographing auroras 240AR4405 244JHelioviewer Tips and Settings 47
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Solar activity or if there is a chance to see the aurora, but with more traffic comes higher costs to keep the servers online. If you like SpaceWeatherLive and want to support the project you can choose a subscription for an ad-free site or consider a donation. With your help we can keep SpaceWeatherLive online!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 30/03/2026 | X1.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 04/04/2026 | M1.0 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 03/04/2026 | Kp7- (G3) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (3%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| marzo 2026 | 85.9 +7.7 |
| abril 2026 | 128.3 +42.3 |
| Last 30 days | 97.5 +35.7 |
Efemérides*
Aurora on this day in history
No observations submitted for this day in history. If you've observed the aurora and you have some amazing photos to show off, submit your observations now!
Submit your aurora observation