Viendo archivo del jueves, 13 julio 2023
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2023 Jul 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 194 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Jul 2023IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M2 event observed at
13/1920Z from Region 3372 (N24E53). There are currently 8 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one and two (14 Jul,
15 Jul) and expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares and a
slight chance for an X-class flare on day three (16 Jul).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 486 km/s at 12/2124Z. Total IMF reached 14
nT at 13/1624Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
13/1634Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 443 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (14 Jul), quiet to minor
storm levels on day two (15 Jul) and quiet to unsettled levels on day
three (16 Jul). Protons greater than 10 Mev have a slight chance of
crossing threshold on days one and two (14 Jul, 15 Jul).
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Jul a 16 Jul
| Clase M | 55% | 55% | 50% |
| Clase X | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Jul 203 Previsto 14 Jul-16 Jul 200/202/198 Media de 90 Días 13 Jul 160
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Jul 006/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Jul 006/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Jul-16 Jul 012/014-016/020-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Jul a 16 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 40% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 40% | 30% |
All times in UTC
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
lunes, 19 enero 2026
CME impact! S4 solar radiation storm
domingo, 18 enero 2026
X1.9 solar flare with earth-directed CME
miércoles, 31 diciembre 2025
Happy New Year! Celebrate with an M7.1 solar flare!
Últimos mensajes del foro
X1.9 CME 1246Incoming & Unnumbered Active Regions 118AR 14342/14344 11Unexplained proton activity 104AR 4345 23
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Solar activity or if there is a chance to see the aurora, but with more traffic comes higher costs to keep the servers online. If you like SpaceWeatherLive and want to support the project you can choose a subscription for an ad-free site or consider a donation. With your help we can keep SpaceWeatherLive online!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 18/01/2026 | X1.9 |
| Último evento clase M | 21/01/2026 | M3.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 20/01/2026 | Kp8 (G4) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| enero 2026 | 107.3 -16.8 |
| Last 30 days | 111.9 +4 |