Viendo archivo del viernes, 28 julio 2023

Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2023 Jul 28 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 209 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 Jul 2023

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M4 event observed at 28/1558Z from Region 3376 (N23, L=228). There are currently 10 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (29 Jul, 30 Jul, 31 Jul).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 453 km/s at 28/0104Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 28/1420Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at 28/1438Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 5 pfu at 28/2045Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 753 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and three (29 Jul, 31 Jul) and quiet to active levels on day two (30 Jul). Protons greater than 10 Mev are expected to cross threshold on day one (29 Jul) and have a slight chance of crossing threshold on day two (30 Jul).
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 Jul a 31 Jul
Clase M40%40%40%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón90%15%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       28 Jul 168
  Previsto   29 Jul-31 Jul 165/162/158
  Media de 90 Días        28 Jul 164

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 27 Jul  007/006
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 28 Jul  005/006
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 29 Jul-31 Jul  008/008-011/015-008/010

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 Jul a 31 Jul
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%30%20%
Tormenta Menor05%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%20%15%
Tormenta Menor20%25%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa20%20%20%

All times in UTC

< < Ir a la visión general diaria

Últimas noticias

Apoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!

A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Solar activity or if there is a chance to see the aurora, but with more traffic comes higher costs to keep the servers online. If you like SpaceWeatherLive and want to support the project you can choose a subscription for an ad-free site or consider a donation. With your help we can keep SpaceWeatherLive online!

No Ads on SWL Pro!
No Ads on SWL Pro! Suscripciones
Donations
Apoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com! Donar
Apoya a SpaceWeatherLive con nuestro merchandise
Échale un ojo a nuestro merchandise

Hechos clima espacial

Último evento clase X18/01/2026X1.9
Último evento clase M21/01/2026M3.4
Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas28/01/2026Kp5+ (G1)
Días sin manchas
Último día sin manchas08/06/2022
Promedio de manchas solares mensuales
diciembre 2025124 +32.2
enero 2026119.2 -4.8
Last 30 days119.5 +1.5

Efemérides*

Llamarada solar
12014M9.58
22015M3.48
32014M3.09
42015M2.98
52015M2.48
DstG
11977-95G1
21978-88G2
31957-79G2
42003-66G1
51963-57G1
*desde 1994

Redes sociales